Giá cà phê ngày 29/10/2021: hai sàn tiếp tục sụt giảm
Giá cà phê sụt giảm trở lại là điều đã được suy đoán sau khi các thị trường kỳ hạn thế giới tăng quá nóng…
Kết thúc phiên giao dịch, giá cà phê Robusta trên sàn ICE Europe – London tiếp tục sụt giảm. Kỳ hạn giao ngay tháng 1/2022 giảm thêm 20 USD, xuống 2.177 USD/tấn và kỳ hạn giao tháng 3/2022 giảm thêm 6 USD, còn 2.128 USD/tấn, các mức giảm đáng kể. Khối lượng giao dịch khá thấp dưới mức trung bình. Cấu trúc giá nghịch đảo tiếp tục thu hẹp khoảng cách.
Biểu đồ Robusta London T1/2022 phiên ngày 28/10/2021
Tương tự, giá cà phê Arabica trên sàn ICE US – New York cùng xu hướng giảm. Kỳ hạn giao ngay tháng 12 giảm thêm 1,40 cent, xuống 199,95 cent/lb và kỳ hạn giao tháng 3/2022 giảm thêm 1,35 cent, còn 202,70 cent/lb, các mức giảm đáng kể. Khối lượng giao dịch khá cao trên mức trung bình.
Giá cà phê nhân xô tại các tỉnh Tây nguyên giảm thêm 400 đồng, xuống dao dộng trong khung 40.600 – 41.200 đồng/kg.
Giá cà phê Robusta xuất khẩu loại 2, 5% đen vỡ, đứng ở 1.997 USD/tấn, FOB – HCM, với mức trừ lùi khoảng 170 – 180 USD/tấn theo giá kỳ hạn tháng 1/2022 tại London.
Đồng Reais giảm 1,25%, tỷ giá xuống ở mức 1 USD = 5,6260 Reais do thị trường không hài lòng với mức tăng lãi suất cơ bản đồng Reais thêm 1,5% của Copom trước đó đã làm hầu hết chứng khoán ở Brasil sụt giảm. Tuy tín dụng trở nên đắt đỏ hơn nhưng lợi nhuận đầu tư cũng vì đó sụt giảm, sẽ khiến dòng vốn ngoại hối co lại và đầu cơ vào hàng hóa sẽ thiếu sức hấp dẫn.
USDX tiếp tục sụt giảm trong rổ tiền tệ mạnh khi có thêm nhiều NHTW xem xét khả năng cắt giảm các gói kích thích do lo ngại lạm phát vượt mức, như Ngân hàng Trung ương Canada (BoC) đã khởi sự.
Tiếp sau sự phủ nhận của vị Thứ trưởng Bộ Nông nghiệp, Hội đồng Cà phê Quốc gia (CNC) cũng đã ra thông báo bác bỏ tin đồn về việc ngành công nghiệp Brasil sẽ nhập khẩu cà phê Robusta từ Việt Nam là tin sai lệch, gây bất ổn cho thị trường cà phê thế giới nói chung.
Giá cà phê kỳ hạn tiếp tục sụt giảm, được cho là sự điều chỉnh cần thiết sau khi đầu cơ mua ròng quá mức đã đẩy giá tăng cao trong 2 phiên giao dịch đầu tuần.
40 responses to “Giá cà phê ngày 29/10/2021: hai sàn tiếp tục sụt giảm”
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